Wednesday, 30 November 2016

The Sober Realist - Srinath Raghavan (Summary)

The essence of ultimate decision remains impenetrable to the observer - often indeed to the decider himself. Yet even if the decision processes making was obscure it was necessary and unavoidable. "We cannot escape choice."

These words make you to ponder but they call for an attitude that few decision makers have been able to cultivate: an acceptance of the limit of all knowledge including self knowledge. Few display the temperament and ability to reflect deeply on choices open to them, on the range and limits of actions as well as their forseeable and unforseeable consequences. If cant done it is usually written of as a charade in which the corpse masquerades as a coroner. This makes us to realise that we must deal with world as we find it and not as we would have liked to find it. In a long sweep the history of the world has its roots in contemporary global politics. Global politics is a churning background of economical, technological change, geographic, cultural predisposition, institutional and practical considerations. On realizing this fact one should know and avoid assuming that ones own side is repository of all virtue.

Choices: Inside the making of Indias foreign policy - Shivshankar Menon.

1. Indo-China 1962 war (Line of actual control) had not been agreed upon based on ones differing perceptions. Each had infirmities and ambiguities in the formal position. LAC became on of the hardest part of the agreement to negotiate. India has a LOC problem with Pakistan and a LAC with China. Many are not aware of the actual border dispute with China. Every move in foreign policy is presented as unprecedent break from the past. Choices itself is a product of a period that is now history.

2. Indias bid to NSG (Nuclear Supplier's Group) to secure a waiver had a opposition from Ireland, Austria, Switzerland, New Zealand, Norway and the Netherlands. Chinese suppported India as mini six were against China too. Indias nuclear deterrent exists to deter others from resorting to nuclear black mail. On the contrary Pakistan treats its nuclear arsenal to support and sponsor terrorism.

3.Decision to not strike Pakistan during 26/11 attacks was the right one. Key to any decision involving use of force is the political context.

Looks like the worlds approach to strategy and foreign policy is nothing but a game of chess in which all the players are trying to win. Indias outlook has been strategic boldness along with tactical caution while dealing with the subject. This stance assumes that there is a lot to be gained from studying history.






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